{"id":21161,"date":"2025-02-16T14:32:18","date_gmt":"2025-02-16T13:32:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/?p=21161"},"modified":"2025-02-16T14:32:20","modified_gmt":"2025-02-16T13:32:20","slug":"sondazhi-ne-qofte-se-votohet-sot-ne-tirane-ps-19-mandate-pd-14-te-tjerat-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/?p=21161","title":{"rendered":"Sondazhi\/ N\u00eb qoft\u00eb se votohet sot n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb: PS 19 mandate, PD 14, t\u00eb tjerat 4"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Nga Eduard Zaloshnja<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jav\u00ebt e fundit jan\u00eb publikuar disa sondazhe, por anketimi p\u00ebr to ishte kryer para se t\u00eb rritej temperatura politike n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, zhvillova k\u00ebt\u00eb fundjav\u00eb nj\u00eb sondazh n\u00eb Qarkun Tiran\u00eb duke e shp\u00ebrndar\u00eb linkun e pyet\u00ebsorit me SMS krejt t\u00eb rast\u00ebsishme (n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb proporcionale n\u00eb pes\u00eb bashkit\u00eb e qarkut).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pyet\u00ebsorin e plot\u00ebsuan 1213 banor\u00eb t\u00eb rritur t\u00eb qarkut, t\u00eb prirur p\u00ebr t\u00eb votuar. Kampionin e ripeshova statistikisht, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb ta p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsonte sa m\u00eb mir\u00eb elektoratin e Qarkut Tiran\u00eb nga ana demografike, gjeografike dhe politike. (<strong><em>Maksimumi i marzhit t\u00eb gabimit statistikor<\/em><\/strong>: Plus\/minus 3.1%.)Pas ripeshimit statistikor t\u00eb kampionit rezultoi q\u00eb, n\u00ebse do t\u00eb ishte votuar sot n\u00eb Qarkun Tiran\u00eb, PS-ja do t\u00eb merrte 48.4% t\u00eb votave, PD-ja 36.5%, dhe partit\u00eb e tjera 15.1% (shihni Grafikun 1)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/javanews.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/479692233_426682343801315_1661370109977238173_n-300x210.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1642989\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Duke presupozuar se emigrant\u00ebt e prirur p\u00ebr t\u00eb votuar me post\u00eb kan\u00eb preferenca politike t\u00eb ngjashme me banor\u00ebt e prirur p\u00ebr t\u00eb votuar k\u00ebtu, p\u00ebrqindjet e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme p\u00ebrkthehen me formul\u00ebn D\u2019Hont n\u00eb mandate si vijon: PS 19 mandate, PD 14 mandate, dhe partit\u00eb e tjera 4 mandate (shihni Grafikun 2). 15,1-p\u00ebrqind\u00ebshi i partive t\u00eb tjera p\u00ebrkthehet n\u00eb vet\u00ebm 4 mandate, sepse \u00ebsht\u00eb i shp\u00ebrndar\u00eb n\u00eb shum\u00eb parti t\u00eb vogla, shum\u00eb prej t\u00eb cilave nuk e arrijn\u00eb dot pragun arithmetik t\u00eb marrjes s\u00eb mandatit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Krahasuar me nj\u00eb sondazh krejt t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm q\u00eb publikova para dy jav\u00ebsh, rezulton se partit\u00eb e vogla kan\u00eb humbur dy mandate n\u00eb dy jav\u00ebt e fundit. Dhe k\u00ebto dy mandate u kan\u00eb shkuar dy partive t\u00eb m\u00ebdha (1 PS-s\u00eb dhe 1 PD-s\u00eb).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/javanews.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/478159803_1069877838229364_2175576314137850734_n-300x181.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1642990\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>SH\u00cbNIM: Kjo ndarje e mandateve \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e mundshmja sot, por duke marr\u00eb n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb marzhin e gabimit statistikor t\u00eb sondazhit, numri i mandateve mund t\u00eb luahtet plus\/minus 1 rreth k\u00ebtyre shifrave (me probabilitet m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl).<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Eduard Zaloshnja Jav\u00ebt e fundit jan\u00eb publikuar disa sondazhe, por anketimi p\u00ebr to ishte kryer para se t\u00eb rritej temperatura politike n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, zhvillova k\u00ebt\u00eb fundjav\u00eb nj\u00eb sondazh n\u00eb Qarkun Tiran\u00eb duke e shp\u00ebrndar\u00eb linkun e pyet\u00ebsorit me SMS krejt t\u00eb rast\u00ebsishme (n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb proporcionale n\u00eb pes\u00eb bashkit\u00eb e qarkut). Pyet\u00ebsorin &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21162,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_1504.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21161"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21161"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21163,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21161\/revisions\/21163"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/21162"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/voranews.al\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}